It’s been a while since we’ve heard anything about Grand Theft Auto V since its big reveal late last year, with Rockstar Games keeping awfully quiet about any details to do with the game – including a potential release date.
However, business analyst Arvind Bhatia, from Sterne Agree, believes the game isn’t going to turn up until Q2 2013, rather than the 2012 date gamers around the world are hoping for. His theory (via Forbes) touches on a number of supporting arguments, with “Less competition” a major player. Both Assassin’s Creed III and a new Call of Duty are scheduled for release late this year, and Bhatia surmises this may have scared Take 2 away from that particular window.
He also suggests that the delay would see a greater install base on current consoles, with the added bonus of being a potential launch title for the Wii U platform some time next year.
While the second argument holds a little water (but really, the install base isn’t going to grow significantly, at this point in the console’s life cycle), the “less competition” theory is being scoffed at across the industry. With a massive, passionate following, Grand Theft Auto V has the potential to frighten either of those two major franchises.
A slightly better theory for the delay looks at internal competition, rather than any external factors. Publisher Take 2 is also lining up both BioShock Infinite and Borderlands 2 for release in late 2012. While there isn’t much crossover between audiences, it doesn’t make sense for the company to cannibalise its own chances of success by releasing three major titles so close together. GTA5 simply won’t be required for Take 2 to make a tidy profit this year.